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Headlines Today is 20/12/2014
LEARNING ABOUT WET TRACK SIRES FROM THE START...Part 1 [ More Items ]  
This is the RISA website where as it says on the screen and also bottom right of the click-ons, a five generation tabulation of most racehorses can be researched for free. It wouldn't do He's Your Man or Tougher Than Ever for me from the list of 22 horses below, but there are other options. On the Brisbaneracing website today I've put two photos up on the end of that montage to show you what you get to see on the screen of their website if you are a member.
04/09/14

Yesterday I touched on the point that because very few people have a clue about what can win on a slow or heavy track – and what can’t – the market on races run on rain affected tracks is generally wider. And on slow or heavy tracks, favourites generally go over like nine pins. Take last Saturday at Rosehill and the eight winners with official starting prices were Sweynesse ($12), Ambivalent ($7.50), Georgey Aeroplane ($4.80), Maroon Bay ($4), Rugged Cross ($5), Hallowed Crown ($7), Greatwood ($5.50) and Weinholt ($13). Favourites went missing in action in seven of the eight races and the only favourite to win on the eight race card was Maroon Bay in Race 4 at $4.

The seven favourites that were beaten, with their finishing order were, in race order, Burning Passion ($2.25 – fifth), Made To Order ($6 - fourth), Pentometer ($4.60 - sixth), Beyond Thankful ($2.70 – seventh), Nostradamus ($3 – seventh), He’s Your Man ($3.60 – third) whilst Cluster (second), Mount Nebo (third) and Murder of Crows (fourth) all ran as equal favourites at $4.60 in the last race.

So after the day’s racing was done and dusted, how many punters bothered doing anything constructive to educate themselves on getting an edge when betting on slow or heavy tracks? Probably about none I’d presume. Yet learning can be done quite easily after the day’s racing and one can enhance their knowledge considerably on wet track punting by taking a few simple steps towards educating oneself on the subject.

During the course of the year when reviewing wet track breeding to learn about the subject, I’d only work on Saturday city meetings that are run on slow or heavy tracks. And over the space of three to four years you’ll get to the stage of having a good handle on wet track breeding.

I don’t take any notice of non-TAB race meeting results run on heavy tracks, or crappy low grade races at TAB venues like Maidens and Class 1’s, as put simply, something has to win every race ever run. You will have all sorts of distortion of an individual stallion’s figures by working on crappy races, as a low-calibre of sire may have exemplary slow and heavy track statistics at non-TAB tracks, but non-TAB tracks are not Saturday city company, so you aren’t comparing apples with apples. I often get emails from owners saying words to the effect that “my horse is by so-and-so and he handles heavy” yet you reckon he’s a terrible wet track sire and everyone else thinks he’s okay but the horse will get lost in Saturday city company on a slow or heavy track, so it’s either 1) not handling the slow or heavy track, or 2) is not up to the class, or 3) maybe a bit of 1) and 2) combined.

So as far as I’m concerned, it’s irrelevant in the general scheme of things if some scrubber stallion that stands for $1,000 out the back of Bourke or a $10,000 service fee son of Danehill throws lots of heavy track winners at Kalgoorlie or Betoota. Tell someone who is interested, as you can bet guineas to gooseberries that neither stallion will have runners at any of Doomben, Randwick or Moonee Valley next Saturday.

So to start learning about wet track sires the smartest thing to do is imitate what I did for about three or four years and that is after the Saturday city race meeting that has been run on a slow or heavy track is over, go in and “check the three generation tabulation of the breeding of the placegetters in each race, provided they all finished within two to three lengths of the winner”. I use “two to three lengths” as the barometer, as it is absolutely useless suggesting the second horse handled say the heavy 8 and/or heavy 9 track at Rosehill last Saturday, if that second horse got beaten half a furlong. And that did happen in one race when Forever Crazy clocked in second, but because she was 5.5 lengths off the winner Georgey Aeroplane (another Saturday Morning Mail tip on the heavy track) I don’t deem that any other horse except Georgey Aeroplane handled the prevailing heavy track, but moreover something has to run second and third in any race ever run that contains 11 starters like that race did.

So as stated earlier, to start learning I have to do the three generation tabulation of the placings in seven races, but only the winner of Race 3. So in assessing this wet track I’m not interested in mares names that supplied the placegetters, or whether they’d won on a heavy track during their career. As far as I’m concerned that’s “irrelevant time wasting rubbish to research”. I only need stallion names. “On the balance of probability” all progeny will throw to their stallion’s ability to handle wet tracks, down through the ages – not the mare. She doesn’t get a say in the breeding barn when her back legs are tied so that she can’t ruin the stallion, so it follows that she doesn’t personally need to be involved in wet track sire work. To me it’s only her male sire lines that are important.

So here’s the three generation tabulation from the 22 horses I need to research from Rosehill last Saturday:

RACE

HORSE

SIRE

SIRE OF DAM-G/DAM- GREAT G/DAM

1

Sweynesse

Lonhro

Singspiel-Nashwan-Secretariat

First Seal

Fastnet Rock

Scenic-Best Western-Tattenham

Hampton Court

Redoute’s Choice

Broken Vow-Vice Regent-Vaguely Noble

2

Ambivalent

Aussie Rules

Dehere-Bletchingly-Sky Diver

 

Zazparella

Al Maher

Fairy King-Top Ville-Sovereign Path

 

Miss Venus

Galileo

Zoffany-Gain Control-Supernatural

3

Georgey Aeroplane

Yamanin Vital

Personal Escort-Noble Bijou-Bellborough

4

Maroon Bay

Exceed And Excel

Snippets-Last Tycoon-Twig Moss

 

Runway Star

Northern Meteor

Commands-Bletchingly-Cerreto

 

Maysoon

Eavesdropper

Reset-Sadler’s Wells-Secretariat

5

Rugged Cross

Cape Cross

Soviet Star-High Line–Sir Gaylord

 

Tougher Than Ever

General Nediym

Giant’s Causeway-Seattle Slew-Northjet

 

Eigelstein

Dubawi

Acatenango-Danehill-Teotepec

6

Hallowed Crown

Street Sense

Danehill-Bletchingly-Nureyev

 

Kumaon

Lonhro

Encosta De Lago-Langfuhr-Spectacular Bid

 

Ygritte

Snitzel

French Deputy-Last Tycoon-Imposing

7

Greatwood

Manduro

Galileo-Shirley Heights-Windwurf

 

Bonfire

Manduro

Night Shift-Bikala-Satingo

 

He’s Your Man

Cape Cross

Arazi-Val De L’Orne-Sir Gaylord

8

Weinholt

Stratum

Elusive Quality-Sadler’s Wells-Mill Reef

 

Cluster

Fastnet Rock

Last Tycoon-Bletchingly-Baguette

 

Mount Nebo

Dubawi

Danehill-Bletchingly-Blazing Saddles

 

To do the aforesaid, as per the associated photo, is easy - and it’s free by going onto the RISA website at www.risa.com.au or there’s another free website to access for such information called www.pedigreequery.com which gives similar information to RISA. The other way to find out pedigree information is to join the Australian Stud Book website on www.studbook.org.au albeit this latter website membership costs you $32.95 per year if you are a registered thoroughbred breeder and $37.95 if you’re not a registered breeder. The advantage of paying the $37.95 per year is that you can get a heap of additional information such as every named or unnamed foal that any mare has ever had, what stakeswinners any stallion has had to date, along with what grade of black type race the progeny has won and so on and so forth, like an ability to go back as many generations as you like – within reason.

So from the aforesaid simple piece of easy research, from horses that finished “within two or three lengths” of the winner last Saturday at Rosehill, we see numerous stallion names duplicated, so from one day’s racing conducted on a heavy track we have learnt plenty of names whose progeny and/or descendants adore wet tracks. I’ve highlighted just two stallions names in the aforesaid work.  Firstly Bletchingly to show you how many times he appears, which alerts us to look out for him and/or his stallion sons in wet track pedigrees. And secondly I didn’t know that the Gai Waterhouse quinella pair of Greatwood and Bonfire are by the same stallion until I did this research, so now we know of a stallion (Manduro) that is having imported runners come into Australia and he well may be a duck sire. So we’d be aware of the possibility before 99% of people twig to that one. Like the late Tommy Smith once famously said, “The harder you work, the luckier you get”.

Next week I’ll do another recent Saturday city wet track meeting - and research more pedigrees.

Today on www.brisbaneracing.com.au there’s the last of three montages of photos from Doomben last Saturday, plus others of interest, including ones of the Australian Stud Book website. On www.sydneyracing.com.au there’s a harness racing story whilst on www.melbourneracing.com.au Matt Nicholls looks at Moonee Valley Saturday and starts searching for the Cox Plate winner.

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